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Prediction for CME (2015-12-16T09:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-12-16T09:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9854/-1
CME Note: This entry is for two CME in close succession, starting on 2015-12-16T09:24 UT and 2015-12-16T14:24 UT in LASCO C2.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-12-19T15:27Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 6.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-12-18T22:32Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2015-12-16 09:36
Source Longtitude: 15
Source Latitude:  -15
Initial Shock Speed:  778 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed:  400 km/s (default)
Duration Time: 1.12 hour

Output results:The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2015-12-18 22:32:10
The transit time predicted is 60.94 hours!

Lead Time: 40.87 hour(s)
Difference: 16.92 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2015-12-17T22:35Z

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